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22/11/2023
COMMENT ISRAËL MÈNE LA GUERRE URBAINE À GAZA
La guerre que mène aujourd’hui Israël contre le Hamas est une guerre urbaine, ce qui signifie qu’elle répond à des règles d’engagement très spécifiques et produit obligatoirement un nombre important de victimes civiles (dites « collatérales »). Dictées par la nature du théâtre des opérations, ces règles sont impératives mais ces victimes et, dans le cas qui nous occupe, l’exploitation qui en est faite par la propagande du Hamas – relayée par des organisations extérieures disant défendre « la cause palestinienne » - sont évidemment de nature à brouiller la perception que le public peut avoir de cette guerre et à remettre en cause sa légitimité.
03/11/2023
HASSAN NASRALLAH CHOOSES TO MAINTAIN "STRATEGIC UNCERTAINTY”
In an hour-long speech marked by the ambiguity typical of Hezbollah, its leader Hassan Nasrallah threatened Israel and the United States, but without formally announcing that his movement was going to go to war. In short, it maintains a strategic ambiguity that forces the Hebrew state to maintain significant resources on its northern border.
03/11/2023
HASSAN NASRALLAH CHOISIT DE MAINTENIR « L’INCERTITUDE STRATÉGIQUE
Dans un discours d’une heure, frappé d’une ambiguïté assez typique du Hezbollah, son chef Hassan Nasrallah a menacé Israël et les Etats-Unis, mais sans formellement annoncer que son mouvement allait entrer dans la guerre. En bref, il maintient une ambiguïté stratégique qui oblige l’Etat hébreu à maintenir des moyens important sur sa frontière nord.
19/10/2023
GAZA HOSPITAL: HAMAS MANIPULATION FAILS
An explosion hit Gaza's Ahli Arab hospital on Tuesday evening, killing "several hundred people" according to Hamas. The terrorist organisation immediately accused the Israelis of deliberately bombing the hospital. Thirty-six hours later, it appears that Israel had nothing to do with the strike and that the death toll was probably (very) grossly exaggerated. But the damage is done. Welcome to Hybrid Warfare, in which the manipulation of information, Infowar, is a (lethal) weapon in its own right.
19/10/2023
HOPITAL DE GAZA : ECHEC D’UNE MANIPULATION DU HAMAS
Une explosion a touché, mardi soir, l’hôpital Ahli Arab de Gaza, faisant « plusieurs centaines de morts », selon les bilans fournis par le Hamas. L’organisation terroriste a immédiatement accusé les Israéliens d’avoir délibérément bombardé l’hôpital. Trente-six heures plus tard, il apparait qu’Israël n’a rien à voir avec cette frappe et que le bilan des pertes a probablement été (très) grossièrement exagéré. Mais le mal est fait. Bienvenue dans la Guerre hybride dans laquelle la manipulation de l’information, l’Infowar, est une arme (létale) à part entière.
18/10/2023
APRES LES ATTENTATS D’ARRAS ET DE BRUXELLES, LE RISQUE D’ATTENTATS « COPYCAT »
Dans les cafouillages qui ont suivi l’attentat de Bruxelles, celui qui a le plus frappé l’opinion publique belge est sans doute la divergence entre Flamands et Francophones sur l’ouverture des écoles. Mais y avait-il vraiment un risque que le terroriste s’attaque à des établissements scolaires ? Etant donné que le terroriste est mort, il est évidemment impossible de le savoir. Sauf si l’enquête révèle, par exemple, qu’il s’était livré à des repérages sur des écoles. Mais cette approche différenciée est effectivement très intéressante.
10/10/2023
ISRAEL : STATE OF THE PLAY AT 15:00 GMT, OCTOBER 10, 2023
The controversy over the failure of Israeli intelligence to detect Hamas's preparations, which lasted months, and the failure of the army to react quickly last Saturday (according to numerous local sources, civilians were left to fend for themselves for hours, or even a whole day, before the first soldiers arrived) has now spread to politics. Was Benjamin Netanyahu aware that a Hamas attack was being planned? According to an Egyptian intelligence official quoted by the American news agency AP. According to this source, the Egyptian intelligence services contacted the Israeli Prime Minister ten days before the surprise Hamas attack to warn him of "unusual developments".
07/10/2023
ISRAEL : STATE OF THE PLAY AT 11:00 GMT, OCTOBER 7, 2023
This briefing is based on public sources (OSINT) and official statements by Israeli authorities or Hamas spokespersons. Hamas launched a surprise and unprecedented attack against Israel this morning, with over 2,500 missiles/rockets fired from Gaza and a massive terrorist infiltration by land and sea. Yesterday was the 50th anniversary of the beginning of the “Kippur War” (October 6, 1973)
15/06/2017
Germany and nuclear power: who lives by the sword, dies by the sword
In 2011, the German government imposed a tax on processing nuclear fuel amounting to 145 euros per gram to be paid by the nuclear producers. The decision has now been declared unconstitutional and forces the government to pay a 6.3 billion euro refund.
07/06/2017
German working parents’ struggle for Kindergarten places
In the last few years, German working parents have had to fight to get their children a place in one of the childhood care institutions. The State’s efforts to cope with the problem have been undermined by massive immigration and have left the country’s citizens in utter dismay.
02/06/2017
Social inequality is not an issue for German retirement system
The German pension system is only an average performer among OECD countries and has to go through further reforms. A good starting point might be erasing the privileges of the civil servants.
13/04/2017
Erdoğan’s months of long knives on the way to the Turkish constitutional referendum
In the last months the Turkish regime has carried out a strategy of silencing the “No” referendum campaigners axed on five targets (political opposition, Kurds, media, intellectuals and security agencies) to pave the way towards a strengthened authoritarian rule.
11/04/2017
The clock is ticking for Turkish secularization and EU membership
Turkey is heading towards a controversial referendum on constitutional changes that will concentrate powers in the office of Presidency. If passed, the reform would lead to an authoritarian shift in the country that would sweep away the Kemalist Revolution and strain the relationships with the EU and NATO in a heartbeat.
20/03/2017
Is Germany a modern Atlas capable of holding up the task of giving the refugees a job?
Since the outburst of the refugee crisis, few EU member states have been on the front line in the rescue and reception of asylum seekers. The next challenge ahead for the destination countries is represented by the integration of the immigrants into the national labour markets.
06/03/2017
Can the Caterpillar of the new Syrian Constitution become a butterfly?
The last significant step in Syria’s thorny path towards the end of the conflict that has devastated the country for the last six years was the peace talks held last February in Astana, Kazakhstan, which welcomed representatives from the Syrian government, the opposition and envoys from Iran, Russia and Turkey, the three major foreign powers leading the negotiations with UN assent.
28/02/2017
The myth of tolerant Europe is written on a blank page
During the last Munich Security Conference, held in the Bavarian capital on February 17-19, 2017, Angela Merkel delivered a long statement on the European challenges and priorities. Among the several vectors of domestic and foreign policy that were announced, the Chancellor reiterated the policy of welcoming the immigrants inside German and EU borders. Although the intent to foster the European Union’s allegedly inner desire to become the unwavering supporter of tolerance, compassion and freedom worldwide is noble, some facts contradict the narrative telling the citizens that the hospitality of the immigrants is happening peacefully. And more than ever, the migrant issue is a “hot topic” nourishing the rise of populism in Europe. Thus, it must be “handled with care”….
13/06/2016
Orlando: Winning 'DIY' terrorism strategy is applied by Islamic State
On the night between June 12 and June 13, at least 50 people were killed and 53 more injured in a shooting, carried out by a lone attacker against a night club of the LGBT community in Orlando, Florida. The man, who claimed his allegiance to Islamic State, was shot dead by police. The first elements on the incident allow to draw a provisory profile of the man responsible for the worst mass shooting in US history and the deadliest terror attack committed on US soil since September 11, 2001. The attack, claimed by the Islamic State, will for sure have an impact on the "positioning" of the United States in the Syrian crisis.
13/06/2016
Orlando : la stratégie gagnante du do-it-yourself du terrorisme appliquée par l’Etat Islamique
Dans la nuit du samedi 12 au dimanche 13 juin, au moins 50 personnes ont été tuées et 53 trois autres blessées lorsqu’un homme a ouvert le feu dans une boite de nuit de la communauté LGBT de Orlando, en Floride. L’homme, qui s’est revendiqué de l’Etat Islamique, a finalement été abattu par la police. Les premiers éléments disponibles permettent de dresser un profil provisoire de l’homme responsable de la pire tuerie de masse de toute l’histoire américaine et du plus grave attentat commis sur le sol américain depuis le 11 septembre 2001, et de souligner la responsabilité de l’E.I. dans une action qui aura, n’en doutons pas, des conséquences sur le « positionnement » des Etats-Unis dans la crise syrienne.
07/06/2016
A strange case in Kiev
A strange case that took place this week in Ukraine triggers concerns over a possible "manipulation" from security services. On Monday, June 6, Vassil Grytsak, the head of the SBU (Sluzhba Bezpeky Oukrayiny), the Ukrainian domestic security and intelligence service, announced the arrest of "Gregoire M", a French national found in possession of an impressive arsenal and who allegedly plotted to commit 15 attacks (no less!) in France before and during the Euro 2016 competition. Among the potential targets of the attacks would be mosques, synagogues and public buildings.
07/06/2016
Une étrange affaire à Kiev
C’est une étrange affaire, aux forts relents de « manip » des services, qui vient d’éclater en Ukraine. Lundi M. Vassil Grytsak, chef du SBU (Sloujba Bezpeky Oukrayiny), le service de sécurité et de renseignement intérieur ukrainien, annonçait l’arrestation d’un certain « Gregoire M », ressortissant français trouvé en possession d’un arsenal impressionnant et qui aurait projeté de commettre une quinzaine d’attentats (pas moins !) en France avant et durant l’Euro 2016. Ses cibles : des mosquées, des synagogues et des bâtiments publics.
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Abu Sayyaf Afghanistan Alberto Caballero Algeria Alicia Jensen Al-Qaeda anarchist Andre Burstin Ansar Al-Islam Ansar Bait Al-Maqdis Ansar Dine Ansarullah anti-Balaka Anton Sehnaoui AQIM AQIS AQMI Argentine Arras Arthur de Liedekerke Australia Axelle Vandendriessche Azerbaijan Bangladesh Belgique Belgium Beyrouth BIFF Blaise Ortiz Boko Haram Brazil Bruxelles Burkina Faso Burundi Cadente Copper Cameroon Canada CAR Central African Republic Central Asia Chili China civil unrest civil war Claude Moniquet Colombia Compaoré Coree corruption Cosa Nostra coup Defence Denmark Di Natala Diplomacy Djihad islamique Dos Santos DRC drones drugs Egypt Egypte Eliska Puckova ELSE energy ESISC Etat Islamique Etats Unis Etats-Unis Ethiopia ETIM Europe European Union Evgenia Gvozdeva Extremism FARC far-right Finland Foteini Fragkou France Gaza Genovefa Etienne Germany green economy Guerrero hacking Hamas hassan nasrallah Hezbollah Human Rights India Insurgency Intelligence Iran Iraq Islamic State Islamism Ismail Haniyeh Israel Italy Japan jihad Jo Biden Kashmir Kazakhstan Kieran Doyle Korea Koweit Lashkar-e-Taiba Lazarevic Leah Kazar Leandro Di Natala Lebanon l'Etat Islamique Lhoussain Azergui Liban Libya Loucheur Louise Schabelmann Mali Mapuche Mattia Caniglia Mexico migrants MILF Mohamed Fahmi Morocco Morsi Najib Mikati NATO netanyahu Nieto Nigeria North Africa nucleaire Olivia de Fouchier Olivier Loucheur Olympic Games Omar Harfouch organised crime Pakistan Palestinian territories Paris Pauline Ravillard Peru Petrobras Philippines Pierre-Alexis Quenot piracy Pluspetrol Political risk Politics Post-Soviet Countries President Pierre Nkurunziza protests Qatar Rachel Larned Raphaël Ramos Rauf Tuzun refugees Russia Rwanda Ryad Salameh Sahel Sarah Baudinet Saudi Arabia sectarian violence Seleka shipping Sinai Solene Jomier Solène Metais Somali state Somalia South Africa Spain Stefano Sarsale Sudan Suez Canal Sweden Syria Syrie Tajikistan Taliban Terrorism terrorisme terrorist terrorists Tia Maria project Tsahal Tunisia Tunisie Turkey Ukraine United Kingdom United Nations United States Uyghur Uyghur Muslims Venezuela video Vietnam waterway William Racimora Xinjiang Yeme Yemen Yuliana Lefevre

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